Recently, the European Super League won a lawsuit against UEFA and plans to claim 4.5 billion euros. The Athletic published an article explaining the source of the claim.

According to sources from the European Super League promotion company A22, Real Madrid believes that 4.5 billion represents the match day, broadcast rights and commercial income they may obtain from the European Super League. This figure is based on the assumption that the project ultimately fails, rather than a loss in a specific period. At the same time, they emphasized that this potential claim amount is not related to the claim that A22 may make. When TA asked Real Madrid to confirm whether the claim figure was true, club sources refused to confirm the figure, saying only that the total would "reach billions of euros" and that they would issue a relevant report in due course.

So is there any chance that Real Madrid’s claim will succeed? TA reporter Matt Slater said, maybe. This may also be one of the reasons why the legal industry has developed into a global industry worth more than one trillion yuan. For lawyers, making such an argument is like participating in the Champions League knockout round. If the claim eventually goes to court, both parties will hire a top team of lawyers. However, it will be much more difficult for Real Madrid to successfully claim.

First of all, Real Madrid needs to prove that they have indeed suffered huge financial losses due to UEFA's actions, which means they must prove how much money they can earn over a period of time if the European Super League is successfully operated, compared with their actual income from UEFA competitions. This will be quite a troublesome issue as the European Super League was vague about the source of revenue in its original plans and to this day no broadcasters or sponsors have admitted to negotiating with them.

According to the leaked European Super League contract, we know that the 12 initial clubs will receive a "welcome fee" of 200 million to 300 million euros. Barcelona and Real Madrid, which claim to be the core attraction of the project, will receive an additional 60 million euros in the first two seasons. Taking Real Madrid as an example to estimate the revenue of the event, participating in the European Super League and reaching the finals will have at least 11 home games. In contrast, the current Champions League only has 7 home games. If these games were brought to the 84,000-capacity Santiago Bernabeu for a decade or more, the revenue would be significant. But everything is just speculation. Will the value of the European Super League's broadcast agreement far exceed that of the Champions League? That seems unlikely, with news suggesting that the UEFA club competition will be worth more than $5 billion per year starting in 2027.